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查看11 | 回复2 | 2012-2-16 12:37:59 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
中国经济受影响的原因:由于中国经济在改革开放30年来,加速荣誉世界经济体系,从此出口贸易为国民经济的火车头,尤其是加入世界贸易组织后,不可避免的成为世界经济的一部分,我国对外贸易依存度高达百分之六十,尤其是中国较大的贸易伙伴----美国,欧盟,由于他们经济受到影响,进口需求锐减,导致我国出口增幅减缓,顺差减少。因此此次经济危机必然影响中国经济,主要体现在影响中国的出口:由于经济危机后美国国民财富大幅缩水,使用规模急剧缩小,使得美国国民消费支出减少,故而使中国对美国出口大幅减少,如:2008年1---9月,中国贸易顺差1809亿美元,同比下降百分之2.6,净减少49.2亿美元,出口为10740亿美元,增长百分之二十二点三,进口为8931亿美元,增长百分之29.而减少的巨大部分中国是无法用刺激内需所填补的,因而造成东部沿海地区用工回落的趋势。政策:明确指出要在保增长和稳物价之间作出平衡,并且年初就着手布置研究扩大内需的课题。国际金融危机对中国经济的冲击是在2008年9月份之后显现的,当年8月份几个沿海省份的财政收入开始负增长,用电量开始明显地下滑。中国经济在2008年第四季度出现大幅减,国内生产总值仅增长6.8%,比年初下降了3.8个百分点。劳动密集型产业和中小企业受到严重冲击,股市和楼市大幅下滑,汽车销售量全面总的来说,出口和资讯两个渠道扩散着国际金融危机对中国实体经济和虚拟经济的影响,使经济长期赖以增长的两个循环都受到很大阻尼。第一个循环是高储蓄—高投资—高出口顺差到收益分配和国内就业及消费之间形成的循环,另一个循环是住房需求拉动的房地产开发产业链条和以地租分配为主要内容的地方政府财政收入及地方政府公共支出的循环。在两个循环中,前者影响后者,因为住房终端需求受前者影响更大。两个循环受阻,使经济增长下滑、国内财政收入和企业利润下降、失业率上升,这反过来又使高度依赖股市的中等收入者们的财富性收入受到影响,从而引起消费增长速度趋平。中国经济两个基本循环圈受阻的情况表明,这场国际金融危机对中国的冲击,本质上是对中国过度外向的经济增长方式的全面冲击,最严重的问题是失业,特别是近2000万在劳动密集型出口产业就业的农民工的失业。从这个角
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千问 | 2012-2-16 12:37:59 | 显示全部楼层
China\'seconomybythereasonoftheinfluence:BecauseofChina\'seconomyinreformandopeningupfor30years,acceleratehonortheworldeconomy,fromnowonexporttradeasthecoreofthenationaleconomy,especiallytojointheworldtradeorganization,inevitablybecomepartoftheworldeconomy,China\'sforeigntradedependencyashighassixtypercent,especiallyChina\'sbigtradingpartner-theUnitedStates,theEuropeanUnion,becauseoftheireconomicaffected,importdemandfactors,leadtoChina\'sexportgrowthslowed,thesurplusreduced.SotheeconomiccrisiswillinevitablyaffectChina\'seconomy,mainlyinimpactChina\'sexport:becauseoftheeconomiccrisisafterthenationalwealthshrunkdramatically,usescalesharplynarrowed,makestheUnitedStatesthenationalconsumerspendingtoreduce,sothereforeChineseexportstotheUnitedStatessharplyreduce,Suchas:1-2008-September,China\'stradesurplusof$180.9billion,twopointsixpercentyear-on-yeardrop,anetdecline$4.92billion,exportfor$1.074trillion,uptwenty-twopointpercent,importsfor
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千问 | 2012-2-16 12:37:59 | 显示全部楼层
China\'seconomyaffectedthereasons:AcceleratedhonorstheworldeconomyduetoChina\'seconomicreformandopeningup30yearsfromtheexporttradeasthelocomotiveofthenationaleconomy,especiallyafterjoiningWTO,inevitablybecomepartoftheworldeconomy,China\'sforeigntradedependenceon%60,especiallythelargertradingpartnerforChina----theUnitedStates,EuropeanUnion,becauseoftheireconomytobeaffectedbythesharpdropinimportdemand,leadingtoChina\'sexportgrowthslowed,reducingsurplus.ThecurrenteconomiccrisiswillinevitablyaffectChina\'seconomyismainlyreflectedintheimpactofChina\'sexports:U.S.nationalwealthhasshrunkdramaticallyduetotheeconomiccrisis,theuseofscalenarrowedsharply,makingtheU.S.nationalconsumerspending,andthereforesignificantlyreduceChina\'sexportstotheU.S.Suchas:1---September2008,theChinesetradesurplusof$180.9billion,down2.6%,anetdecreaseof$4.92billion,exportsof$1.074trillion,anincreaseof22.3percent,importsfor8931billionU.S.dollars,anincreaseof29percentandreducedagreatpartofChinacannotstimulatedomesticdemandtofill,resultingintheeasterncoastalareasofemploymentdownwardtrend.Policy:clearlypointedouttheneedtostrikeabalancebetweentomaintaingrowthandstableprices,andisthebeginningoftheyearthegenerallayoutofthesubjectofexpandingdomesticdemand.TheimpactoftheinternationalfinancialcrisisonChina\'seconomyisapparentaftertheSeptember2008revenueofseveralcoastalprovincesbeganinAugustofthatyearofnegativegrowth,electricityconsumptionbegantodecline.China\'seconomyinthefourthquarterof2008sharplyreduced,thegrossdomesticproduct(GDP)grewbyonly6.8percent,down3.8percentagepointscomparedwiththebeginningoftheyear.Labor-intensiveindustriesandSMEshavebeenseriouslyaffected,stockandpropertymarketshavefallensharply,comprehensivecarsalesIngeneral,theproliferationofexportandinformationontwochannelswiththeinternationalfinancialcrisisonChina\'srealeconomyandvirtualeconomy,theeconomyrelyonlong-termgrowthcyclearesubjecttoalargedamping.Thefirstcycleishighsavings-investment-highexportsurplustothedistributionofincomebetweendomesticemploymentandconsumptionofthecycle,anothercycleofhousingdemand-pullchainofrealestatedevelopmentindustryandgovernmentrentallocationoflocalgovernmentasthemaincontentFinancialincomeandlocalgovernmentpublicexpenditurecycle.Twoloop,theformeraffectthelatterbytheformeragreaterimpactbecausethedemandforhousingterminal.Twocycleofdisruption,sothatthedeclineineconomicgrowth,domesticfiscalrevenueandthedeclineincorporateprofits,risingunemployment,whichinturnaffectedmiddle-incomearehighlydependentonstockmarketwealth,income,causingtheconsumptiongrowthrateislevelingoff.BlockedbytheChineseeconomyaretwobasiccircle,showthattheexcessiveoutwardmodeofeconomicgrowthimpactoftheinternationalfinancialcrisisonChina,inessence,thefullimpactofthemostseriousproblemsofunemployment,inparticular,nearly20millioninemploymentofmigrantworkersunemployedbythelabor-intensiveexportindustries.赞同
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